Supported by


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This research used resources of the Argonne Leadership Computing Facility at Argonne National Laboratory, which is supported by the Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy under contract DE-AC02-06CH11357.

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The research group of Alessandro Vespignani at Indiana University is also using mathematical models to forecast the world-wide spread of the H1N1 flu.


Related Links

page2_sidebar_2 CDC H1N1 Flu Website
page2_sidebar_2 WHO Influenza A(H1N1) Website
page2_sidebar_2 Illinois Dept. of Public Health

Yahoo! News: 'Worst Case' Scenario for Flu Estimated (May 1, 2009)
Welt am Sonntag: Kleine Geschichte der großen Unsicherheit (May 3, 2009 – German)
WBEZ Chicago Public Radio: Eight Forty-Eight (Apr 29, 2009)
WBEZ Chicago Public Radio (Apr 28, 2009)
ABC7 Chicago (Apr 30, 2009)
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FOX News Chicago (Apr 27, 2009)
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A Note on Team Effort

This project is based on an exceptional collaborative effort of a group of young researchers. Christian Thiemann, Rafael Brune, Alejandro Morales Gallardo and Vincent David have devoted their entire days and frequently sacrificed their nights, too, for this project during the past weeks. My students Daniel Grady and Olivia Woolley have contributed their ideas, comments and helped wherever they could. All of them set their current research projects aside and completely focused their attention and resources to this project. Running our computer simulations, extracting valuable information from the raw data, producing projections, developing new scenarios, optimizing computational methods, detecting each other’s errors in a timely fashion in this project requires a very coordinated type of team work and aside from professional skills, personal ones as well. This team has done and still does an excellent job and it is certain that this research effort would not have been feasible without this team. I am very proud of them and thankful.

Dirk Brockmann

From left to right: Christian Thiemann, Alejandro Morales Gallardo, Rafael Brune, Vincent David, Olivia Woolley, Daniel Grady.